The Scottish National Party published findings of a new poll commissioned by the party and conducted by Panelbase this week – which shows a 15-point lead for the SNP in Scottish Parliament constituency voting intentions, and even puts the SNP ahead of Labour for the next Westminster general election.

Welcoming the poll, the SNP’s Business Convener Derek Mackay MSP said:

“Coming on top of the SNP gaining more than 50,000 new members since the referendum, these poll ratings are exceptionally good. After over seven years in office, the SNP have a 15-point lead over Labour for the Scottish Parliament, and are even in the lead for the next Westminster general election. At a similar stage in the 2007-11 Holyrood term, Labour had a double-digit lead over the SNP – and we went on to achieve a landslide victory. This time, the SNP have a double-digit lead.

“The situation after the referendum is redolent with opportunity for Scotland, and the SNP have the wind in our sails. Scotland was promised ‘extensive new powers’ in return for a No vote in a solemn vow by the Westminster parties. They are showing every sign of having to be dragged kicking and screaming to deliver on their vow.

“The more people in Scotland join and back the SNP, the stronger the pressure on Westminster to fulfil their pledge – and that is the key driver in soaring SNP membership and support.”

The poll details are as follows:


* If a Scottish Parliamentary election was held tomorrow, who would you vote for with your constituency vote?
SNP: 42%
Labour: 27%
Conservative: 15%
Liberal Democrat: 5%
UKIP: 5%
Other: 5%

* And who would you vote for with your regional vote?
SNP: 37%
Labour: 27%
Conservative: 16%
Liberal Democrat: 5%
Greens: 9%
UKIP: 4%
Other: 1%

* If a UK Parliamentary election was held tomorrow, who would you vote for?
SNP: 34%
Labour: 32%
Conservative: 18%
Liberal Democrat: 5%
UKIP: 6%
Other: 5%

Note: The poll was conducted from 29 September to 1 October, among 1,049 adults resident in Scotland aged 16+. All the results were weighted by age, sex, household tenure, country of birth and socio-economic group. Respondents who voted in the 2011 Holyrood election and/or 2014 European elections were weighted back to the actual election results. UK voting intention was weighted to reflect the 2010 Westminster election rather than 2011.